Media reports of Indian Ocean cyclones hitting Mozambique and eastern Zimbabwe tend to forget when they take pictures of the survivors that they should do so where the ground is wet not bone dry.
Thanks for your thoughful and even handed presentation of data. I attended a conference where a group of ex NASA scientists who had been heavily involved in tracking hurricanes and other weather data for the space program. They discussed the fact that until there was radar tracking by aircraft and then satellites a lot of the smaller tropical storms (hurricanes) were not reported unless a ship were in the area. There was also a range issue with the aircraft monitored tracking (The US aircraft only had enough fuel to go ~ 1/2 way over the Atlantic. They showed data that compared before and after years, the amount of small storms and the tracks of storms across the Atlantic. They made a very compelling case that before satellite tracking the Eastern Atlantic probably had a large number of storms which were not counted. They showed a map of a year in the 20s or 30s that showed almost zero storms counted that were beyond the aircraft range, and they compared that to a post satellite year that showed a large number of small hurricanes in that Eastern Atlantic area. Could you please comment on that observation.
If you do a 15 year moving average of Atlantic hurricanes and/or major hurricanes since 1900 you can see a multi decadal wave with a peak around 1930 and another around 2010, we should be headed into an overall average decline in activity over the next few decades.
“Along with millions of Americans, I know firsthand the devastation caused by hurricanes. These climate-related events are growing more frequent and powerful, underscoring the need for greater action to improve our nation’s response and resilience to hurricanes,” said NASA Administrator Bill Nelson. “Addressing and mitigating the effects of climate change like hurricanes are at the core of NASA’s mission. From the agency’s upcoming TROPICS mission that will help scientists understand the factors driving storm intensification and contribute to weather forecasting models, to the creation of the Earth Information Center to ensure game-changing NASA climate data is accessible and understandable to decision-makers, NASA will continue to help communities better prepare for and recover from these weather events.”
"And I see advocates and polemicists feasting on cherries all through hurricane season." I immediately pictured Biden sitting in the WH bunker, hands curled into fists like Cornholio as he chants, "Hurricane, hurricane, hurricane!" Because nothing sells his climate 'crisis' agenda (that comes and goes depending on what day it is) like a disastrous, landfalling hurricane.
And the media ratings are just too good to rain on them with data and facts. I have nieces and nephews who think hurricanes are something that only began forming in the last 20 years. Pointing them to a good hurricane history website usually helps.
Media reports of Indian Ocean cyclones hitting Mozambique and eastern Zimbabwe tend to forget when they take pictures of the survivors that they should do so where the ground is wet not bone dry.
Thanks for your thoughful and even handed presentation of data. I attended a conference where a group of ex NASA scientists who had been heavily involved in tracking hurricanes and other weather data for the space program. They discussed the fact that until there was radar tracking by aircraft and then satellites a lot of the smaller tropical storms (hurricanes) were not reported unless a ship were in the area. There was also a range issue with the aircraft monitored tracking (The US aircraft only had enough fuel to go ~ 1/2 way over the Atlantic. They showed data that compared before and after years, the amount of small storms and the tracks of storms across the Atlantic. They made a very compelling case that before satellite tracking the Eastern Atlantic probably had a large number of storms which were not counted. They showed a map of a year in the 20s or 30s that showed almost zero storms counted that were beyond the aircraft range, and they compared that to a post satellite year that showed a large number of small hurricanes in that Eastern Atlantic area. Could you please comment on that observation.
If you do a 15 year moving average of Atlantic hurricanes and/or major hurricanes since 1900 you can see a multi decadal wave with a peak around 1930 and another around 2010, we should be headed into an overall average decline in activity over the next few decades.
Excellent summary
Thank you. I enjoy reading your posts. Your article arrived in my email about the same time as this NASA press-release for <https://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-scientists-available-for-2022-hurricane-season-interviews>. I wonder sometimes if we exist in two realities simultaneously? Quoting from the NASA release...
“Along with millions of Americans, I know firsthand the devastation caused by hurricanes. These climate-related events are growing more frequent and powerful, underscoring the need for greater action to improve our nation’s response and resilience to hurricanes,” said NASA Administrator Bill Nelson. “Addressing and mitigating the effects of climate change like hurricanes are at the core of NASA’s mission. From the agency’s upcoming TROPICS mission that will help scientists understand the factors driving storm intensification and contribute to weather forecasting models, to the creation of the Earth Information Center to ensure game-changing NASA climate data is accessible and understandable to decision-makers, NASA will continue to help communities better prepare for and recover from these weather events.”
"And I see advocates and polemicists feasting on cherries all through hurricane season." I immediately pictured Biden sitting in the WH bunker, hands curled into fists like Cornholio as he chants, "Hurricane, hurricane, hurricane!" Because nothing sells his climate 'crisis' agenda (that comes and goes depending on what day it is) like a disastrous, landfalling hurricane.
And the media ratings are just too good to rain on them with data and facts. I have nieces and nephews who think hurricanes are something that only began forming in the last 20 years. Pointing them to a good hurricane history website usually helps.