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The whole ordeal reminds me the experience of Kenneth Arrow (Nobel in Economics) when he was tasked to predict the weather for the US Air Force .
The story goes like this:
“ Military service during World War 2 found him working as a statistician in the US Army Air Corp’s Weather Division and charged with forecasting the number of rainy d…
The whole ordeal reminds me the experience of Kenneth Arrow (Nobel in Economics) when he was tasked to predict the weather for the US Air Force .
The story goes like this:
“ Military service during World War 2 found him working as a statistician in the US Army Air Corp’s Weather Division and charged with forecasting the number of rainy days in particular combat areas.
A simple statistical test showed that his efforts were fruitless, so Arrow wrote to his general suggesting his unit be disbanded. He received a reply:
“The general is well aware that your forecasts are no good. However, they are required for planning purposes.”
If Arrow hadn’t already grasped the way the world works, he did then.
In my opinion this is exactly what current climate science is all about. It gets funded that much to find “problems” for planning purposes.
You'll enjoy this op-ed of mine in the FT https://twitter.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1401940374470291458?s=20&t=upq1ujJnPyu-K4VVqhkbng