25 Comments
⭠ Return to thread

I especially like the phrase. " Diminishing the primacy of Prognosticative climate change." Why? There two reasons: (1) The methodology used by the IPCC climate modelers has never been validated. See, "Validity of climate change forecasting for public decision making" by K.C.Green, J Scott Armstrong and Willy Soon in the International Journal of Forecasting 25, (2009) That was a long time ago but the principles of forecasting still apply today. (2). Any increase in the concentration of CO2 beyond the current 421 ppmv will have a negligible effect on average global temperature anomaly . See Challenging Net Zero with Science, by Happer and Lindzen. comments by Robert W. Street

Expand full comment

Armstrong and Soon are excellent on the methodology of forecasting. I high recommend Armstrong's book. The Principles of Forecasting.

Expand full comment