The AR6 mealy mouthing notes potential for RCP8.5 to still be realistic, “including political factors and, for instance, higher than anticipated population and economic growth.”
As we have noted, “higher than anticipated population growth” compared to the data used to project future population in original RCP8.5 should by now be laughable…
The AR6 mealy mouthing notes potential for RCP8.5 to still be realistic, “including political factors and, for instance, higher than anticipated population and economic growth.”
As we have noted, “higher than anticipated population growth” compared to the data used to project future population in original RCP8.5 should by now be laughable. It was always a basis for higher emissions in the RCP’s than likely, and it is now indefensible based on ACTUAL population/birth rate data.
In sum, one way RCP8.5 became the official scare story was by using future population projections that were never realistic.
The AR6 mealy mouthing notes potential for RCP8.5 to still be realistic, “including political factors and, for instance, higher than anticipated population and economic growth.”
As we have noted, “higher than anticipated population growth” compared to the data used to project future population in original RCP8.5 should by now be laughable. It was always a basis for higher emissions in the RCP’s than likely, and it is now indefensible based on ACTUAL population/birth rate data.
In sum, one way RCP8.5 became the official scare story was by using future population projections that were never realistic.
Great post, Roger!