Climate Misinformation
rogerpielkejr.substack.com
Climate Misinformation
Knowing what science says about climate is more difficult than ever
Last week I gave a talk on “Climate Misinformation” at the invitation of the National Association of Scholars. Above you can see my full lecture followed by a lengthy Q&A. You can find here some additional commentary on the talk and (for paid subscribers) my complete slide deck.
I have opened up the comments on this post to everyone. I am happy to have questions and comments, and I welcome alternative or critical views to the data and arguments of my talk. All are welcome! I will be happy to engage actively in the comments as well.
RE: Bill Nye misinformation. Here is a link to an older CNN Crossfire YouTube clip where Bill Nye is confronted with facts from the latest IPCC report (at the time) about hurricane frequency and other things. The point is made that the IPCC report indicates that there is no detection of an increase in hurricanes. His response? "Hurricane shmericane!". The argument seems to always change from there. Well they're bigger, they're wetter, they stay in once place longer, they throw more sharp objects, they spread COVID, etc.. https://youtu.be/rUjx2lChTMQ
Excellent presentation summarizing the history and current state of climate science. It's very difficult for the average person to weed through all the information/misinformation available on the internet, but this presentation is the best short summary that I've seen. A few years ago I had generated a US hurricane impact pivot table and chart (similar to yours) based on the data from the NOAA web site (https://tinyurl.com/mr2kck59 "Pivot Table 2"). Like yours, this chart shows no upward trend. I attempted to do something similar with US temperature data, since a popular YouTube poster questioned the inconsistent NASA temperature trend graphs when comparing their chart from 1999 to the current chart on their web site. I was able to find the source for both charts on the NASA GISS web site, and there is actually a disclaimer on the current chart that attempts to explain the disparity, "The corresponding graph in Hansen et al. (1999) shows a smaller trend, since it is based on data that were not yet corrected for station moves and time-of-observation changes, see this FAQ.]". The YouTube poster contends this disparity is fraudulent. The main point of the fraud claim is that the 1999 chart showed the peak years for warming in the US were around 1934, and that has subsequently been altered to be an increasing trend by the adjustments mentioned in the footnotes of the current chart. In addition to hurricane trends, have you also looked at temperature data trends in the US, and what are your thoughts on the temperature adjustments made to the NASA US temperature data? Thanks!