Understanding the Origins of Climate Models
Understanding the Origins of Climate Models
A conversation with Nate Hagens
On this episode, Nate is joined by climate and policy scientist Roger Pielke Jr. to discuss the progression of climate research and modeling. The climate activist community is based around projections of what a future might look like given the actions of society - an important tool in the push for urgent climate action. Yet, just like with any other model, the assumptions and parameters can greatly shape the outcomes. How has climate science been shaped by previous models and public perception? How did 2Cº come to be our common climate goal post? Are we anticipating the future within the most likely range of possibilities, or are we polarizing ourselves to the extremes of climate denial and climate doom?
For those who prefer to read, I’m happy to share the transcript provided by Nate, here in PDF. Show notes and more here.
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The story of UC v. RP should go into the history books. But when the proper history of Climate Science is told, you will be there, in bold type. I am still trying to fit your story about 8.5 into the accounts of the methodology of models. Never give up!
Roger,
Thx for sharing your interview with us.
He asked good questions and then allowed you to expound upon them. Nice discussion!
As to your reply (to a comment ): "I think the phrase "climate change is an existential threat" is today a bit like "How you doing?"
No, it's not. We should use every chance to call-out untruths like these (especially in a venue like your interview!). The idea that we are in a climate crisis is damaging our young people (more anxiety, fewer children and altered career choices) and will keep billions in poverty due poor policy choices.
Silence when a lie is said frequently is interpreted as assent. People need to hear that there are principled disagreements to many current issues (and not just climate! ) .