I’m starting a new feature at The Honest Broker Newsletter — a weekly graph from my work or the work of others that I think is worth sharing.
Today’s graph is based on data kept by EM-DAT in Belgium, which is widely viewed as an authoritative source for data on global disasters. The data show that from 2000 to 2021, the number of global weather and climate disasters declined by about 10%, which is very good news and completely contrary to conventional wisdom. The period since 2000 is viewed as the most reliable for data reliability, but it is safe to say that even since 2000, coverage has improved. So the 10% decline is possibly an underestimate. The trends reported here are consistent with independent, peer-reviewed research (e.g., this and this). Of course, don’t use data on disasters to say anything about changes in weather or climate — data on specific weather and climate variables are always more appropriate for tracking changes in climate.